8:30-9:00 AM: Continental Breakfast

9:00-9:10 AM: Welcome

9:10-10:40 AM: Atif Mian (Department of Economics, Princeton University), “What is constraining the global economy? The role of indebted demand and debt traps”

Background Material:

Mian, Atif, Ludwig Straub, and Amir Sufi. 2020. “Indebted Demand."

Mian, Atif, Ludwig Straub, and Amir Sufi. 2020. “The Saving Glut of the Rich and the Rise in Household Debt ”.

10:40-11:00 AM: Coffee Break

11:00 AM-12:30 PM: Rachel Wellhausen (Department of Government, University of Texas at Austin), “Investor-state disputes and the protection of foreign investment”

Background Material:

Wellhausen, Rachel L. 2020. “ "International Investment Law and Foreign Direct Reinvestment." .” International Organization 73 ((4): 839-858.

Wellhausen, Rachel L. 2020. “The Shield of Nationality: When Governments Break Contracts with Foreign Firms. Cambridge University Press. (Chapters 1, 2, and 3)”.

12:30-1:30 PM: Lunch

1:30-3:00 PM: James Robinson (Harris School, University of Chicago), “The Narrow Corridor and How to think about Comparative Political Economy.” 

Background Material:

Acemoglu, Daron, and James Robinson. 2020. “The Narrow Corridor: States, Societies, and the Fate of Liberty, Chapters 1 &2 .” New York: Penguin Press.

3:00-3:15 PM: Coffee Break

3:15-4:30 PM: Panel Discussion Panel – Trade wars, currency wars, and coronavirus: recipe for a global recession? 

• Catherine Mann, Global Chief Economist, Citi, and former Chief Economist, OECD (2014-2017);
• Maurice Obstfeld, Class of 1958 Professor of Economics, UCB, and former Chief Economist, IMF (2015-18).
•  
• Background Material: 
• Obstfeld, Maurice. 2020. “Globalization and Nationalism: Retrospect and Prospect”.
• Mann, Catherine L. 2020. “For Better or Worse, Has Globalization Peaked? Understanding Global Integration”.
• Frankel, Jeffrey. 2020. “"Will Coronavirus Trigger a Global Recession?"” The Guardian, February 26, 2020.
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